According to an authoritative source, as renewable clean energy, geothermal energy will be included in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†energy plan. It is reported that the state initially plans to complete the ground source heat pump heating (cooling) area of ​​350 million square meters in the next five years, and the total market size is expected to be at least 70 billion yuan. In this regard, Li Yuanpu, executive director of the China Renewable Energy Society, pointed out that it is expected that during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the development and utilization of geothermal resources will set off a climax, in addition to the further development of the ground source heat pump equipment manufacturing and sales industry, related to geothermal utilization. The energy service industry will also make great progress.
"If you calculate the investment by 200 yuan per square meter, it means that the total market for the development and utilization of geothermal energy will be at least 70 billion yuan in the next five years," said Li Yuanpu. Looking at the current market alone, the sales of ground source heat pump market in China has exceeded 8 billion yuan, and is growing at a rate of more than 20% per year. At the same time, the initial installation cost of ground-source heat pump systems has also dropped significantly. From the initial 400-450 yuan per square meter of buildings to the current 220-320 yuan, public awareness of ground-source heat pumps has also greatly improved.
According to statistics, as of March this year, China has applied 2,236 shallow-scale geothermal energy heating and cooling building projects, and ground source heat pump heating area has reached 140 million square meters. 80% of projects are located in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Liaoning, Henan, and Shandong. Other regions. In Beijing, about 30 million square meters of buildings are heated and cooled with shallow geothermal energy, while Shenyang has more than 60 million square meters.
“It is estimated that by 2015, the total amount of geothermal energy in China will be equivalent to 68.8 million tons of standard coal, which will account for 1.7% of China’s total energy consumption,†said Guan Fengjun, director of the geo-environmental department of the Ministry of Land and Resources.
In response, Wang Min, deputy director of the Ministry of Land and Resources and director of the China Geological Survey Bureau, bluntly stated that China has a vast area and a large amount of shallow geothermal energy is available.
According to preliminary estimates, the annual shallow geothermal energy resources of 287 prefecture-level cities or above are equivalent to 9.5 billion tons of standard coal. Under the current technological conditions, the available heat is equivalent to 350 million tons of standard coal per year. If it can be effectively developed and utilized, the consumption of electric energy for development and use can be reduced, and 250 million tons of standard coal can be saved annually.
“The reserves of geothermal resources in the 12 major geothermal basins in the country are equivalent to 853 billion tons of standard coal, and the thermal emission of 2562 hot springs in the country is equivalent to 4.52 million tons of standard coal per year. Under the current technological conditions, the equivalent of 640 million tons of standard coal can be used annually. It can reduce the emission of carbon dioxide by 1.3 billion tons.The dry hot rock resources in the depths of 3,000 meters to 10,000 meters in China's mainland are equivalent to 860 trillion tons of standard coal, which is 260,000 times of China's current annual total energy consumption and has great potential." said Guan Fengjun. .
It is the great prospect of seeing geothermal energy. The Ministry of Land and Resources is also actively promoting the development and utilization of geothermal energy. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, geothermal resources investigation and development and utilization projects will be initiated.
Industrial model "upgrade"
During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the development and utilization of geothermal resources will set off a new round of upsurges, and the geothermal heat pump industry model is also expected to escalate. In addition to promoting the development of the ground source heat pump equipment manufacturing and sales industry, the energy service industry related to geothermal energy utilization will also achieve significant development.
“According to the data we have, there are 1,500 companies that are involved in ground-source heat pumps across the country. If we add small installation and operation companies, the total number will exceed 10,000,†said Li Yuanpu.
As a senior source in the ground source heat pump industry, Li Yuanpu's other title is the head of the Geothermal Heat Pump Professional Group of the China Renewable Energy Society. He told reporters that due to the high profits of the ground source heat pump industry and the low threshold, many non-specialized companies have joined the industry one after another, resulting in vicious competition in the market.
At present, "China lacks a comprehensive evaluation system for source heat pump systems and a strict market access system in different forms. It is unable to effectively carry out evaluations of system reliability and energy conservation effects. Market operations are not standardized, and vicious competition is at the expense of project quality. There is aggravating trend." Li Yuanpu said. In his view, it is necessary for the state to introduce the industry access standards as soon as possible and the industrial target evaluation system.
On the other hand, Li Yuanpu analyzed that in the context of the “Circular on accelerating the implementation of contract energy management and promoting the development of energy-saving service industries†issued by the State Council last year, during the “12th Five-Year Plan†period, China’s ground-source heat pump market will be sold by products. Upgrade to energy-saving services.
"It is expected that the entire market will gradually divide into two camps: one is the self-use user market, which is characterized by users through the purchase, installation and operation of ground source heat pump systems to achieve their own energy-saving purposes; the other is the emerging energy-saving services industry market, its The feature is that the users who purchase and install the ground source heat pump system are energy service companies that provide the end-user cooling and heating building energy supply service by operating a ground source heat pump system, and earn profit through the energy-saving features of the technology. The demand for ground source heat pump technology and products will gradually exceed the needs of self-use users. Such changes should cause the industry's attention to adjust the company's development strategy in time, he said.
It is worth noting that this industrial model is very similar to the idea of ​​geothermal development and utilization proposed by the Ministry of Land and Resources.
Chen Xiaoning, deputy director of the Department of Geo-environment of the Ministry of Land and Resources, once stated that from the pilot work on the evaluation, development and utilization of shallow geothermal energy in Tianjin, it is now more apt to use shallow geothermal energy in public places, such as the exhibition center and gymnasium. This is exactly what provides energy services companies with a living soil.
It is understood that the Ministry of Land and Resources plans to use three years or so to jointly conduct shallow geothermal energy survey, evaluation, development and utilization in provincial capital cities across the country, identify the resources of each provincial capital, divide suitable areas for development and utilization, formulate development and utilization plans, and establish monitoring networks. .
“Currently, provincial and municipal departments of land and resources have made detailed work plans and individual provinces have begun to implement. Trial areas such as Tianjin have completed surveys and evaluations. With the adjustment of China's energy structure and gradual improvement of ground source heat pump technology, shallow ground temperature It will certainly become an important new energy source in China," said Chen Xiaoning.
Local governments and energy giants are increasingly paying attention to the development of geothermal resources. It is reported that senior CNPC executives have stated that by 2020, the company will invest 10 billion yuan in the development of new energy sources, including geothermal resources.
In mid-May, the “12th Five-Year Plan for New Energy Industry Development in Chengde City†proposed that the development of new energy sources such as geothermal energy be actively promoted. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, hot spring projects, heating projects, and ground source heat pumps should be carried out. Geothermal comprehensive utilization project promoted.
In the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Construction†application program in Anhui Province, it is also proposed that the application of renewable energy buildings with an area of ​​more than 80 million square meters should be promoted to stimulate the ground-source heat pump industry and supporting industries. According to statistics, as of the end of 2010, the whole province of Anhui Province, the area of ​​shallow geotechnical applications has reached 7.326 million square meters.
With regard to the market prospect of equipment manufacturing industry, most analysts in the industry are also optimistic. Orient Securities analyst report once pointed out that with the reduction of the cost of ground source heat pump investment, it is expected to accelerate the popularity of new projects. It is expected that the total customer sales will increase year by year.
"If you calculate the investment by 200 yuan per square meter, it means that the total market for the development and utilization of geothermal energy will be at least 70 billion yuan in the next five years," said Li Yuanpu. Looking at the current market alone, the sales of ground source heat pump market in China has exceeded 8 billion yuan, and is growing at a rate of more than 20% per year. At the same time, the initial installation cost of ground-source heat pump systems has also dropped significantly. From the initial 400-450 yuan per square meter of buildings to the current 220-320 yuan, public awareness of ground-source heat pumps has also greatly improved.
According to statistics, as of March this year, China has applied 2,236 shallow-scale geothermal energy heating and cooling building projects, and ground source heat pump heating area has reached 140 million square meters. 80% of projects are located in Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei, Liaoning, Henan, and Shandong. Other regions. In Beijing, about 30 million square meters of buildings are heated and cooled with shallow geothermal energy, while Shenyang has more than 60 million square meters.
“It is estimated that by 2015, the total amount of geothermal energy in China will be equivalent to 68.8 million tons of standard coal, which will account for 1.7% of China’s total energy consumption,†said Guan Fengjun, director of the geo-environmental department of the Ministry of Land and Resources.
In response, Wang Min, deputy director of the Ministry of Land and Resources and director of the China Geological Survey Bureau, bluntly stated that China has a vast area and a large amount of shallow geothermal energy is available.
According to preliminary estimates, the annual shallow geothermal energy resources of 287 prefecture-level cities or above are equivalent to 9.5 billion tons of standard coal. Under the current technological conditions, the available heat is equivalent to 350 million tons of standard coal per year. If it can be effectively developed and utilized, the consumption of electric energy for development and use can be reduced, and 250 million tons of standard coal can be saved annually.
“The reserves of geothermal resources in the 12 major geothermal basins in the country are equivalent to 853 billion tons of standard coal, and the thermal emission of 2562 hot springs in the country is equivalent to 4.52 million tons of standard coal per year. Under the current technological conditions, the equivalent of 640 million tons of standard coal can be used annually. It can reduce the emission of carbon dioxide by 1.3 billion tons.The dry hot rock resources in the depths of 3,000 meters to 10,000 meters in China's mainland are equivalent to 860 trillion tons of standard coal, which is 260,000 times of China's current annual total energy consumption and has great potential." said Guan Fengjun. .
It is the great prospect of seeing geothermal energy. The Ministry of Land and Resources is also actively promoting the development and utilization of geothermal energy. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, geothermal resources investigation and development and utilization projects will be initiated.
Industrial model "upgrade"
During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, the development and utilization of geothermal resources will set off a new round of upsurges, and the geothermal heat pump industry model is also expected to escalate. In addition to promoting the development of the ground source heat pump equipment manufacturing and sales industry, the energy service industry related to geothermal energy utilization will also achieve significant development.
“According to the data we have, there are 1,500 companies that are involved in ground-source heat pumps across the country. If we add small installation and operation companies, the total number will exceed 10,000,†said Li Yuanpu.
As a senior source in the ground source heat pump industry, Li Yuanpu's other title is the head of the Geothermal Heat Pump Professional Group of the China Renewable Energy Society. He told reporters that due to the high profits of the ground source heat pump industry and the low threshold, many non-specialized companies have joined the industry one after another, resulting in vicious competition in the market.
At present, "China lacks a comprehensive evaluation system for source heat pump systems and a strict market access system in different forms. It is unable to effectively carry out evaluations of system reliability and energy conservation effects. Market operations are not standardized, and vicious competition is at the expense of project quality. There is aggravating trend." Li Yuanpu said. In his view, it is necessary for the state to introduce the industry access standards as soon as possible and the industrial target evaluation system.
On the other hand, Li Yuanpu analyzed that in the context of the “Circular on accelerating the implementation of contract energy management and promoting the development of energy-saving service industries†issued by the State Council last year, during the “12th Five-Year Plan†period, China’s ground-source heat pump market will be sold by products. Upgrade to energy-saving services.
"It is expected that the entire market will gradually divide into two camps: one is the self-use user market, which is characterized by users through the purchase, installation and operation of ground source heat pump systems to achieve their own energy-saving purposes; the other is the emerging energy-saving services industry market, its The feature is that the users who purchase and install the ground source heat pump system are energy service companies that provide the end-user cooling and heating building energy supply service by operating a ground source heat pump system, and earn profit through the energy-saving features of the technology. The demand for ground source heat pump technology and products will gradually exceed the needs of self-use users. Such changes should cause the industry's attention to adjust the company's development strategy in time, he said.
It is worth noting that this industrial model is very similar to the idea of ​​geothermal development and utilization proposed by the Ministry of Land and Resources.
Chen Xiaoning, deputy director of the Department of Geo-environment of the Ministry of Land and Resources, once stated that from the pilot work on the evaluation, development and utilization of shallow geothermal energy in Tianjin, it is now more apt to use shallow geothermal energy in public places, such as the exhibition center and gymnasium. This is exactly what provides energy services companies with a living soil.
It is understood that the Ministry of Land and Resources plans to use three years or so to jointly conduct shallow geothermal energy survey, evaluation, development and utilization in provincial capital cities across the country, identify the resources of each provincial capital, divide suitable areas for development and utilization, formulate development and utilization plans, and establish monitoring networks. .
“Currently, provincial and municipal departments of land and resources have made detailed work plans and individual provinces have begun to implement. Trial areas such as Tianjin have completed surveys and evaluations. With the adjustment of China's energy structure and gradual improvement of ground source heat pump technology, shallow ground temperature It will certainly become an important new energy source in China," said Chen Xiaoning.
Local governments and energy giants are increasingly paying attention to the development of geothermal resources. It is reported that senior CNPC executives have stated that by 2020, the company will invest 10 billion yuan in the development of new energy sources, including geothermal resources.
In mid-May, the “12th Five-Year Plan for New Energy Industry Development in Chengde City†proposed that the development of new energy sources such as geothermal energy be actively promoted. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, hot spring projects, heating projects, and ground source heat pumps should be carried out. Geothermal comprehensive utilization project promoted.
In the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Construction†application program in Anhui Province, it is also proposed that the application of renewable energy buildings with an area of ​​more than 80 million square meters should be promoted to stimulate the ground-source heat pump industry and supporting industries. According to statistics, as of the end of 2010, the whole province of Anhui Province, the area of ​​shallow geotechnical applications has reached 7.326 million square meters.
With regard to the market prospect of equipment manufacturing industry, most analysts in the industry are also optimistic. Orient Securities analyst report once pointed out that with the reduction of the cost of ground source heat pump investment, it is expected to accelerate the popularity of new projects. It is expected that the total customer sales will increase year by year.
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