China's trade data is lackluster and predictable

Rising US dollar and lacklustre Chinese trade data have caused the market to fall into a range consolidation. Aluminum on the London Metal Exchange (LME) closed lower on the 11th. Three-month aluminum closed down 23 US dollars to close at 2,689.0 US dollars / t.

Edward Meir, an analyst at MF Global, stated that “it is expected that the market will focus more on China’s trade data than on the expected trend.” The stronger US dollar added pressure on the metal’s 11th day due to investors’ concerns. The recent rise of the euro took a profit and the dollar rose moderately. Analysts predict that the dollar will once again resume its overall decline, which is bullish on dollar-denominated metals, on the grounds that the Federal Reserve’s loose monetary policy contrasts with other central banks’ tendency to tighten monetary policy.

ETF Securities said on the 11th, “As China's GDP and Indian industrial output data are scheduled to be released in the week of the 16th, the cyclical asset classes in the next few days may receive further attention.” In addition, NYMEX crude oil fell sharply on the 11th It fell back below $110 a barrel as traders became increasingly worried that rising oil prices would affect demand.

On the domestic front, Aluminum continued to operate at a high level. Shanghai Aluminum’s main contract yesterday saw a sharp decline in 1106, and the pattern of strong domestic and foreign weaknesses was even more pronounced. However, due to its expected increase in costs, the Shanghai aluminum market will likely surpass 17,000, only a matter of time. Overnight aluminum closed lower, short-term Shanghai aluminum or will maintain a narrow correction.

In terms of spot, Shanghai Metalnet's aluminum spot price was, which was 40 yuan/t higher than yesterday. The spot price was higher than that of Pingshui. According to news from the spot market, with the current aluminum price rising steadily, traders’ shipping enthusiasm At the same time, the enthusiasm of the downstream processing enterprises to enter the market at the same time was also greatly increased, and the overall market conditions were active. The internal and external parity ratios ranged from 6.21-6.22, which continued to fall compared with last Friday.

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